2002 Qualify(4)

M.Schumacher is strong on the 1st attack

2002予選(4) 1回目のアタックに強いＭ・シューマッハ

Dec. 2nd, 2002

Qualify will become only one attack 2003. If it is a match from one, who becomes advantageous? Let's see qualify in 2002 by time attack. As for the 1st attack, everyone runs steadily. However, it turns out also in it that M.Schumacher are quick.


2003年には予選が1アタックのみになります。一発勝負なら誰が有利になるでしょうか。2002年の予選をタイムアタック別に見てみましょう。1回目のアタックは誰もが手堅く走るものです。しかし、その中でもＭ・シューマッハが速いことがわかります。

1st attack goes steadily until 2002

It is the average by time attack of a 2002 all GPs and all drivers. It improves considerably by the 2nd time from the 1st time. It goes up slightly the 3rd time. It has fallen the 4th time.

When it can attack 4 times, there may be 1st tendency which everyone is safe and goes. Although a tune is raised gradually, it is reaching the ceiling by the 3rd time. There are not so many persons who can lengthen a time with the last attack.


2002年全戦全ドライバーのタイムアタック別平均です。1回目より2回目でかなり向上します。3回目はわずかに上がります。4回目は下がっています。

4回アタックできる場合、誰もが1回目は手堅く行く傾向があるかもしれません。徐々に調子を上げていくのですが、3回目で頭打ちになります。最後のアタックでタイムが伸ばせる者はそんなに多くありません。

Time is decided by 2nd and 3rd

By GP, the 1st attack (blue) is slow and the tendency that the 3rd time (green) becomes the quickest attains to the whole from the 2nd time (yellow).

The 1st time of Monaco has many late drivers, and is the touch which takes out only the time safely.


ＧＰ別に見ると、1回目のアタック（青）は遅く、2回目（緑）から3回目（黄）が最も速くなる傾向は全体に及びます。

モナコの1回目は多くのドライバーが遅く、安全にタイムだけ出しておく感じです。

M.Schumacher is strong on the 1st attack

Let's see PP time ratio for every attack by the driver. M.Schumacher are quick from the 1st time. Although M.Schumacher was approached by Barrichello on the 2nd time, it thrusts off by the 3rd time. M.Schumacher pass Barrichello the 4th time.

Montoya is weak to the 1st time, and R.Schumacher are extracted after becoming the 3rd time. The Williams vigor does not go up to the 4th time.

McLaren is a upward tendency to the 4th time. As for Coulthard, the 3rd time makes little increase.

The point which slips out of a confused fight of middle teams is the last attack. Although Fisichella and Sato are approaching the 3rd time, Fisichella rises to the 4th time and Sato is downed.



ドライバー別にアタックごとのPPタイム比率を見てみましょう。Ｍ・シューマッハは1回目から速くなっています。Ｍ・シューマッハは2回目でバリチェロに近づかれますが、3回目で突き放します。Ｍ・シューマッハは4回目を流します。

モントーヤは1回目に弱く、Ｒ・シューマッハを抜くのは3回目になってからです。ウィリアムズ勢は4回目に上がりません。

マクラーレンは4回目まで上昇傾向です。クルサードは3回目が伸び悩みます。

中団の混戦を抜け出すポイントは最後のアタックです。フィジケラと佐藤は3回目に接近していますが、フィジケラは4回目にアップし、佐藤はダウンします。

Trulli is top time at Monaco 1st attack.

PP of the 1st attack

最初のアタックのPP

Failure of 1st attack

However, one attack has the fearfulness which loses all by the trouble or mistake. Although the trouble involvement of traffic congestion or the preceding car will be lost, there may be a trouble of a self-vehicle and a mistake. Both M.Schumacher, and Barrichello  have stopped the 1st attack 4 times. M.Schumacher were hit by the gear box trouble in Europe. If the thing same in 2003 happens, it may sink in a low rank grid.

Moreover, although it was dry at first, if it becomes the situation where it rains gradually, order of reverse from the later one may also have a grid.



しかし1回だけのアタックは、トラブルやミスですべてを失う恐さがあります。渋滞や前車のトラブル巻き添えはなくなるでしょうが、自車のトラブルとミスはありえます。

Ｍ・シューマッハとバリチェロはともに1回目のアタックを4回やめています。Ｍ・シューマッハはヨーロッパでギヤボックストラブルに見舞われました。もし2003年に同じことが起これば、下位グリッドに沈むことがありえます。

また、最初はドライだったのに、だんだん雨が降ってくる事態になれば、グリッドが遅い方から逆順という下克上状態もありえます。